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Gold Rally: Rebound or Start of the Next Bull Leg?
The recent crazy fall which erased the entire one month's upward rally is being considered as a significant move. The recent retracement that we saw, people have different views whether it will continue to the upside or downside $5000 is a key level. A daily close below $5000 would open the door for bearish continuation, however any close above $5000 today will keep further chance of sideways or slight upward move. Recent geopolitical tensions due to Trump,s tariff decisions

Alex
Feb 41 min read


USD/CAD at Make-or-Break Zone as Jobs Data Looms
USD/CAD bounced off last month’s low, but it’s still stuck under some big trend resistance. So, the bigger picture hasn’t really changed yet. The weekly opening range is the spot to watch. If the pair stays above 1.3566, the recovery stays on track. But if it drops below that, traders will probably start eyeing 1.3485 and maybe even 1.3420. If USD/CAD manages a daily close above 1.3722 or 1.3733, that’s a stronger sign a bottom’s in, and it could push up toward 1.38 or even 1

Alex
Feb 41 min read


February Forex Seasonality: Will History Hold or Will Fundamentals Take Over?
February’s usually a mixed bag for forex, but this year feels even more unpredictable. The US dollar stumbled in January, which doesn’t line up with its usual seasonal strength. Sure, history offers a guide, but right now, things like politics, central bank moves, and fresh economic numbers are running the show. Looking back, EUR/USD has a habit of edging up a bit in February, about 0.3%. GBP/USD, on the other hand, tends to slip just slightly. USD/JPY and AUD/USD also usuall

Alex
Feb 31 min read


AUD/USD Rally Loses Steam as Pullback Risk Builds
The Australian dollar’s had a strong run this year, but that momentum’s starting to fade. A lot of AUD pairs are bumping up against resistance now. People are watching; the RBA may hike rates by 25 basis points, but honestly, most traders have already priced it in. The RBA might just keep rates steady and still sound hawkish, since inflation’s not really under control and jobs numbers are holding up. But there’s another side to this. US data—things like ISM and NFP—keeps comi

Alex
Feb 21 min read


EUR/USD: Support in Focus Ahead of U.S. PMI
The resistance from the September high has now become support at the 1.91000 level. A significant close below this level on the daily chart will suggest further downside for the pair. Recent U.S. economic data, such as core PPI, PPI and unemployment claims, are showing a stable U.S. dollar. Moreover, the chances of cutting the Fed fund rate depend on upcoming data. Other factors, such as Trump's decisions, have already been priced into the market. So if the EUR/USD today clos

Alex
Jan 301 min read


USD/JPY Outlook: Buyers Defend 152.00, Breakout Levels in Focus
USD/JPY keeps bouncing off 152.00—buyers show up every time the price drops there. Right now, that support looks pretty strong. Up above, 154.45 is the main resistance. If USD/JPY pushes through and holds above that level, 156.00 becomes the next big target. The U.S. dollar still has some momentum, thanks to talk about a more aggressive Fed. So the odds lean toward another push higher soon. But honestly, you never know—headlines or sudden comments from Japanese officials can

Alex
Jan 301 min read


US Dollar Index Technical Outlook
Breaking below the January range knocked DXY down to multi-year lows and did some real technical damage. We might see the dollar pause or chop sideways around support, but the bigger trend keeps pointing down as long as DXY holds below 97.45. For traders, a close under 95.60 would confirm the move toward lower support levels. Any bounce from here probably runs into trouble under resistance. With month-end flows and Non-Farm Payroll on deck next week, expect more volatility.

Alex
Jan 301 min read


Dollar Finds a Floor as Policy Pushback Emerges | USD/JPY and EUR/USD Outlook
The US dollar has found temporary footing after an aggressive selloff, not due to renewed confidence, but because policymakers began pushing back against excessive currency moves. Dovish signals from ECB officials and mixed messaging from Washington triggered sharp but short-lived reversals in EUR/USD and USD/JPY. With Japan increasingly isolated in defending the yen and the ECB growing uneasy with euro strength, the next phase will hinge on whether policymakers move beyond w

Alex
Jan 293 min read


Gold Volatility Spikes as Price Action Becomes Unstable
Gold has entered an exceptionally volatile phase, with price action increasingly detached from its traditional safe-haven profile. A sharp, near-vertical surge followed by an equally aggressive reversal highlights capitulation-style behaviour and signals a market operating in a new volatility regime. While the broader bullish trend remains intact, price is now extremely stretched, elevating short-term risk and making disciplined risk management essential. Market Behaviour and

Alex
Jan 292 min read


Fed Holds Steady as Yen Dynamics and Leverage Risks Take Center Stage
The latest Federal Reserve decision delivered little in terms of surprise, with markets already positioned for no change in rates. As expected, policy remained unchanged and volatility was muted. Attention quickly shifted away from the decision itself toward broader macro themes, particularly currency dynamics and the growing role of leverage in global markets. Fed Decision and Market Reaction With no policy adjustment announced, the focus turned to nuances in the statement a

Alex
Jan 292 min read
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